The study of Elterman et al. is a significant advance in our
understanding of the treatment of infantile spasms, particularly in the
clear definition of response and
relapse in terms of both the clinical and neurophysiological response, in
its size and in the use of actuarial curves (survival curves) for
responders [1]. There are, however,
some weaknesses in the published data, and in their interpretation and
analysis.
The results were reported on almost 80% (142/179) of children
randomized to receive treatment rather than an intention-to-treat analysis
of the 179 children allocated a
treatment - as recommended in the CONSORT statement [2]. The data show
that 16 results are missing from those exposed to high dose and nine from
the low-dose group; two cases were not exposed, and for 10 cases the
report form is not available. These numbers (37 of those randomized
compared to only 32 responders) are large enough to distort the findings,
if the responses in these infants differed from the responses in those
reported.
The reported primary response rate in children on "high-dose"
vigabatrin (normal dose in the UK) was low at 24/67 (36%) and for low-dose
vigabatrin it was 8/75
(11%). Of those with tuberous sclerosis (TS), 13/25 (52%) responded. Only
19/117 (16%) with other underlying aetiologies responded. This confirms
again that vigabatrin is most efficacious when treating tuberous
sclerosis. The proportions on low and high dose are not given by aetiology
however and the paper should have stated these and the odds ratios (the
Mantel-Haenszel test statistic) of a response for the two different
groups: those with and those without tuberous sclerosis [3].
Turning to the actuarial curves, the x-axis should be calibrated as
"time from randomly allocating treatment" rather than "days of vigabatrin
therapy" since the
duration of therapy depends not only on efficacy but also on tolerability.
Figure 5 suggests, for example, that all children with TS were responders
by 71 days, where in
fact two had been withdrawn from treatment and one was a non-responder.
Children who stopped treatment within the 3-month period because of lack
of treatment effect
or presence of adverse effect should, rather than being right-censored, be
classified as non-responders.
Figure 4 seems to show a persistently poorer outcome in children who
were initially treated with low-dose, and the difference persists despite
the study protocol allowing
a change to higher doses of vigabatrin and the addition of other
treatments. This could be due either to a long-term adverse effect of an
ineffective initial dose of vigabatrin
on the response rate, or to right censoring, or to selection bias or to
chance. The placebo controlled study of Appleton et al showed no
significant difference in primary outcome but the group initially treated
with placebo for 5 days appeared to have a significantly better outcome at
6 months than the group initially treated with vigabatrin [4]. This is the
opposite effect to that seen by Elterman et al. We think these differences
are most likely due to chance, but the discrepant findings argue potently
for further studies.
This study ought not to claim that it confirms both the safety and
efficacy of vigabatrin. The adverse effect that is potentially most
serious and irreversible is vigabatrin-attributed visual field loss. There
is no validated method for excluding such losses in children of this age.
The best estimate of risk for such losses must be at least one-third - the
same as that risk in adults or older children. [5]
Most importantly, the reported increase in response rate over the 3-
month follow up period could be due to treatments other than vigabatrin
since these were allowed after
21 days. Regrettably, no information on other treatments is given.
References:
[1] Elterman RD, Shields WD, Mansfield KA, Nakagawa J; and the US
Infantile Spasms Vigabatrin Study Group. Randomized trial of vigabatrin in
patients with infantile spasms. Neurology 2001;57:1416-1421.
[2] Moher D, Schulz KF, Altman DG. The CONSORT statement: revised
recommendations for improving the quality of reports of parallel-group
randomized trials. JAMA 2001;134:657-662.
[3] Lang TA, Secic M. How to Report Statistics in Medicine: Annotated
Guidelines for Authors, Editors, and Reviewers. Philadelphia, PA: American
College of Physicians; 1997:249.
[4] Appleton RE, Peters ACB, Mumford JP, Shaw DE. Randomised, placebo
-controlled trial of vigabatrin as first-line treatment of infantile
spasms. Epilepsia
1999;40:1627-1633.
[5] Wild JM, Martinez C, Reinshagen G, Harding GFA. Characteristics
of a unique visual field defect attributed to vigabatrin. Epilepsia
1999;40:1784-1794.