We read with interest the article by Dr. Lublin et al. [1]. However, the conclusions may be too broad. The data collection is performed comprehensively,
including placebo groups from multiple trials. Their data
shows that untreated patients who suffer relapses will have progression of
their disability. The decision should not be whether or not
to place an individual patient on disease-modifying therapy, but which therapy to choose.
With the choice of disease-modifying therapy comes the debate regarding possible effect of agents, especially glatiramer
acetate, on the natural progression of enhancing and T2 lesions. In addition, there is the question of the likelihood of progression to T1 black holes which is invariant. Another consideration is whether an agent may have a lesser effect on relapses and still slow progression to disability.
My concern is that pharmaceutical companies will only focus on the conclusion that "MS exacerbations produce a measurable and
sustained effect on disability," without recognizing that this effect has only
been confirmed in placebo cohorts. The data
as presented exclude treated patients from the data set.
A better conclusion is "MS exacerbations in
untreated patients produce a measurable and sustained effect on
disability." This still leaves the possibility that some disease-modifying therapies may slow
progression to disability at a greater rate than their effect on relapse
rate may indicate.
References
1. Lublin,FR, Baier,M, and Cutter,G. Effect of relapses on development of residual deficit in multiple sclerosis. Neurology
2003;61:1528-32.