I read the report by Dal Bello-Hass et al with interest. [1] However, I have some concerns regarding the efficacy data, based on review of the data in the web-based tables. Two points appear to detract from the original findings.
The resistance exercise group started out with a better ALSFRS score and was progressing at a slower rate at the time of randomization. In addition, the resistance exercise protocol weeded out faster progressing patients.
An estimated progression rate at the time of randomization, based on the number of ALSFRS points lost (relative to the baseline of 40) divided by duration from disease onset to randomization shows that, at the time of randomization, the mean estimated progression rate for the usual care group was -0.416 ALSFRS points/month. It was
-0.235, or 43% slower, for the resistance exercise group.
An estimated progression rate similarly defined has been shown to be predictive of survival or disease progression for several measures including the ALSFRS-R, and one based on ALSFRS-R has been used for the purposes of stratification in a clinical trial. [2-5]
The resistance exercise protocol weeded out faster progressing patients. The FVC of the resistance exercise group was 97.9+/-5.8 %predicted at randomization (n=13) and 99+/- 3.2 at 6 months (n=8). The apparent improvement in mean values with a smaller standard deviation could have only been achieved by dropping the faster progressing patients.
The authors should clarify how the Standard Deviation of FVC %predicted for the resistance exercise group is three to five times smaller than that of the usual care group (14.6 at randomization; 15.2 at 6 months). It would be informative if the authors could provide the readers with the probability that this disparity would occur by chance.
It is unsafe to take the efficacy data at face value to conclude that exercise had a beneficial effect. One of the resistance exercise group patients needed triple bypass surgery even though he had been deemed healthy to participate in the study by his cardiologist.
Future patients who are influenced by the authors’ suggestion that resistance exercise may be an “essential component of the overall care of patients with this disease” [1] may be undertaking this and other risks. In addition, patients will be disappointed when they find themselves unable to persist in this treatment modality.
The eight patients who completed the 6 months of resistance exercise are not representative of most patients with ALS who do not have FVCs of 98-99% predicted 20-26 months into their disease. Resistance exercise may be appropriate for consideration only in the slowest of slowly progressing patients.
References
1. Dal Bello-Hass V, Florence JM, Kloos AD et al. A randomized controlled trial of resistance exercise in individuals with ALS. Neurology 2007;68:2003-2007.
2. Armon C, Graves MC, Moses D, et al. Linear estimates of disease progression predict survival in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. Muscle Nerve. 2000;23:874-882.
3. Czaplinski A, Yen AA, Appel SH. Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: early predictors of prolonged survival. J Neurol. 2006;253:1428-1436. Epub 2006 Jun 13.
4. Czaplinski A, Yen AA, Simpson EP, Appel SH. Predictability of disease progression in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. Muscle Nerve. 2006;34:702-708.
5. Kimura F, Fujimura C, Ishida S, et al. Progression rate of ALSFRS-R at time of diagnosis predicts survival time in ALS. Neurology 2006;66:265-267.
Disclosure: The author reports no conflicts of interest.