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Correspondence to:
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- ARTICLES:
E. Feldmann, J. L. Wilterdink, A. Kosinski, M. Lynn, M. I. Chimowitz, J. Sarafin, H. H. Smith, F. Nichols, J. Rogg, H. J. Cloft, L. Wechsler, J. Saver, S. R. Levine, C. Tegeler, R. Adams, M. Sloan, and The Stroke Outcomes and Neuroimaging of Intracranial Atherosclerosis (SONIA) Trial Investigators
- The Stroke Outcomes and Neuroimaging of Intracranial Atherosclerosis (SONIA) Trial
Neurology 2007; 68: 2099-2106
[Abstract]
[Full text]
[PDF]
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Correspondence published:
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The Stroke Outcomes and Neuroimaging of Intracranial Atherosclerosis (SONIA) Trial
- Joan Martí-Fàbregas, Sergi Martínez-Ramírez, Josep-Lluis Martí-Vilalta
(25 November 2007)
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Reply from the authors
- Edward Feldmann, MD, On behalf of the SONIA Steering Committee and the SONIA Investigators.
(25 November 2007)
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The Stroke Outcomes and Neuroimaging of Intracranial Atherosclerosis (SONIA) Trial |
25 November 2007 |
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Joan Martí-Fàbregas, Department of Neurology, Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau Avda. Sant Antoni Maria Claret, 167. 08025 Barcelona, Spain, Sergi Martínez-Ramírez, Josep-Lluis Martí-Vilalta
Send Correspondence to journal:
Re: The Stroke Outcomes and Neuroimaging of Intracranial Atherosclerosis (SONIA) Trial
jmarti{at}santpau.es Joan Martí-Fàbregas, et al.
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We congratulate Feldmann et al. on their study concerning the Stroke Outcomes and Neuroimaging of Intracranial Atherosclerosis (SONIA) trial. [1] Although the negative predictive value (NPV) for the Magnetic Resonance Angiography (MRA) and Transcranial Doppler (TCD) were high (91% for MRA and 86% for TCD), the positive predictive value (PPV) for both tests were disappointingly low (59% and 36%, respectively).
We conducted a trial comparing aspirin to anticoagulants in the prevention of vascular events in patients with symptomatic stenosis of the middle cerebral artery (MCA). [2] We included patients only when two of the three non-invasive (MRA, TCD or CT- angiography) tests indicated the diagnosis of MCA stenosis greater than 50%. We think it would be beneficial to re-analyze the SONIA data comparing the diagnostic results of MRA and TCD with conventional angiography when both non-invasive tests are abnormal (both of them instead of anyone of them). We believe this would provide higher and more reliable PPV.
In addition, when the tests are performed is important. In our study, to minimize the risk of misdiagnosing a MCA stenosis instead of a recanalizing embolus, we accepted the abnormal results only when they were obtained a minimum of seven days after the onset of stroke.
We would like to know when the tests of the SONIA study were obtained. If the results were obtained within a few days after stroke, this could be a source of misclassification. To improve the PPV, it seems prudent to exclude patients in whom the tests were obtained within the first week after the onset of symptoms.
References
1. Feldmann E, Wilterdink JL, Kosinski A, et al. The stroke outcomes and neuroimaging of intracranial atherosclerosis (sonia) trial. Neurology 2007;68:2099-2106.
2. Marti-Fabregas J, Cocho D, Marti-Vilalta JL, et al. Aspirin or anticoagulants in stenosis of the middle cerebral artery: A randomized trial. Cerebrovasc Dis. 2006;22:162-169.
Disclosure: The authors report no conflicts of interest. |
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Reply from the authors |
25 November 2007 |
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Edward Feldmann, MD, Brown University School of Medicine 110 Lockwood Street, Suite 324, Providence, RI 02903, On behalf of the SONIA Steering Committee and the SONIA Investigators.
Send Correspondence to journal:
Re: Reply from the authors
EFeldmann{at}lifespan.org Edward Feldmann, MD, et al.
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We thank Martí-Fàbregas et al for their comments on our publication of the SONIA trial.
We agree that the positive predictive value was much lower than the negative predictive value for MRA and TCD identification of intracranial stenosis. The word “disappointingly” may not be appropriate in this setting. Positive predictive value is proportional to the prevalence of disease. The prevalence of intracranial atherosclerosis in the population we evaluated was relatively low, thereby setting the stage for the detection of a low positive predictive value. Clearly, low positive predictive value does not obviate the utility of the tests as they appear to reliably exclude disease and function as excellent screening tests.
We agree that requiring two noninvasive tests as abnormal might increase positive predictive value. We specifically excluded this approach in the SONIA trial as it would have introduced bias into our results. It was our impression that without complete control of ordering a diagnostic test, local investigators would be substantially more likely to order a second noninvasive test in patients whose first noninvasive test was positive. Therefore, this would bias the sample and not provide an appropriate forum for assessing how noninvasive test combinations perform. An additional reason for not considering the combination of two tests is because of the unblinding that may occur in the performance of the second test.
We agree that the timing of test performance may be important because of recanalization of emboli leading to false positive results. We will re-analyze our data in this regard and see if the time of testing had an effect on positive predictive value. We will analyze only noninvasive tests performed after one week after the onset of symptoms.
We suspect that given the way patients are typically evaluated at the sites in the SONIA trial, however, the sample size would likely be small as most patients are tested rather quickly after the onset of symptoms.
Disclosure: Some or all of the authors have given expert testimony related to the subject of the article to which this correspondence refers. |
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